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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $546K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: krü esports vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 8:0…

Methodology

We track Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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