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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 91% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $506K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.591%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)70%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.550%
Map 2 Winner30%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Match Winner11%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)9%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 91% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between FURIA Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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