Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% EDward Gaming | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% FUT Esports | 100% EDward Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% FUT Esports | 0% EDward Gaming |
Market context
EDward Gaming face FUT Esports in an upper bracket quarterfinal of the VCT Masters London Playoffs on 13 June, with the winner advancing directly to the semi-finals. The match is scheduled for 10:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. Current market pricing reflects zero confidence in EDward Gaming's chances, a positioning that warrants scrutiny given the volatility typical of international Valorant competition at this stage.
EDward Gaming's recent form provides limited precedent for confidence. The team qualified for Masters London but has struggled against top-tier opposition in regional play, whilst FUT Esports have demonstrated more consistent results in their domestic circuit and showed competitive depth in earlier tournament rounds. Historical matchups between CIS-region and EMEA-region teams at Masters events show considerable variance depending on meta alignment and preparation time; teams that appear outmatched on paper have secured upsets when anti-stratting is effective or when individual player performance spikes. The 0% probability assigned here suggests market participants view this as a near-certain FUT victory.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions through to match day, as injury or visa complications have disrupted VCT fixtures previously. Broadcast schedules and potential technical delays could affect settlement timing; the 7-day cancellation clause becomes relevant if the match is postponed beyond 20 June. Recent VCT coverage from Riot's official channels and team social media will signal any disruptions to the scheduled fixture.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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