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Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 97% Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5 93% O/U 1.5 86% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 85% Volume: $241K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.593%
O/U 1.586%
2nd Half O/U 0.585%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
Fenerbahçe SK 2nd Half O/U 0.579%
Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.577%
Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.570%
O/U 2.567%
Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)60%
2nd Half O/U 1.557%
Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.553%
Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.549%
Both Teams to Score47%
Fenerbahçe SK 2nd Half O/U 1.547%
1st Half O/U 1.546%
O/U 3.543%
Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)37%
Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 1.535%
Górnik Zabrze 2nd Half O/U 0.532%
2nd Half O/U 2.530%
Górnik Zabrze 1st Half O/U 1.528%
O/U 4.526%
Górnik Zabrze 1st Half O/U 0.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half26%
1st Half O/U 2.521%
Both Teams to Score in First Half20%
Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.516%
O/U 5.513%
Górnik Zabrze 2nd Half O/U 1.57%
Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.54%
Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)1%
Górnik Zabrze (-2.5)0%

Market context

The Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 97% YES. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 21 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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