Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
IF Brommapojkarna face IK Sirius at Grimsta IP in Stockholm this afternoon in a crucial Allsvenskan fixture, with Sirius currently leading the league table. Over the last 24 hours, Sirius have maintained their unbeaten run in algorithmic projections, cementing their status as 62% favourites to extend their dominance despite playing away [5]. The crowd-implied probability of 0% YES on the additional markets suggests the market anticipates a straightforward outcome, likely an away win, rather than a complex scenario involving draws or specific goal thresholds.
Historical head-to-head data frames this low probability as consistent with long-term trends rather than an anomaly. In 23 meetings since 2007, IK Sirius have won 12 matches while Brommapojkarna have secured only seven, with an average of 3.38 goals scored per direct encounter [6][7]. This uneven record against this specific opponent, combined with Sirius’s superior attacking form, has historically weighted trends heavily toward an away victory, making the current 0% pricing a reflection of established statistical dominance rather than a sudden shift in sentiment [5].
Traders should monitor the final lineups released shortly before the 14:30 UTC kick-off, as any unexpected absences in Sirius’s forward line could alter the goal-scoring dynamics [1]. Live coverage on ESPN will provide real-time updates on in-game momentum, which is critical for markets dependent on match flow [3]. Given Sirius’s status as league front-runners, their commitment to maintaining their unbeaten record remains the primary catalyst, with no major injury announcements reported in the immediate pre-match window [5].
Methodology
This page reviews IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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