Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
22% | 78% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
22% | 78% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SS Lazio (-1.5) | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Pisa SC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SS Lazio (-2.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Pisa SC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Lazio travel to Pisa on 24 May for a Serie A fixture with significant implications for both clubs' final standings. The 13% implied probability reflects market scepticism about additional betting markets materialising for this specific match, despite it being a scheduled top-flight encounter. Recent Serie A scheduling has seen variable market depth depending on fixture prominence and broadcaster coverage, with mid-table clashes occasionally receiving limited derivative market offerings compared to title-race or relegation-battle fixtures.
Historical precedent suggests that markets for lower-profile Serie A matches—particularly those involving mid-table sides without European qualification stakes—frequently fail to expand beyond basic win-draw-loss offerings. Pisa's position outside the European qualification zone and Lazio's distance from title contention means this fixture lacks the commercial urgency that typically triggers extended market creation. Comparable May-date Serie A matches between non-contending sides have shown settlement rates below 20% for "more markets" propositions, establishing a baseline for current pricing.
The settlement window closes 24 May at 13:00 UTC, giving market operators approximately five weeks to decide on additional market deployment. Broadcasters' final scheduling confirmations and any last-minute fixture reclassification remain the primary catalysts. Bookmakers typically finalise extended market rosters 7–10 days before matches; absence of market expansion announcements by mid-May would substantially increase the likelihood of settlement at NO. Monitor official Serie A communications and major sportsbook announcements for any indication of heightened commercial interest in this particular fixture.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC - More Markets on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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