Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Rapid 1923 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Botoşani (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Botoşani (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Botoşani 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Rapid 1923 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Botoşani will host FC Rapid 1923 in a Romania SuperLiga fixture on 27 July at 14:30 ET. The 0% implied probability on this particular market suggests traders are either awaiting clarification on what specific outcome is being priced, or the market has not yet attracted sufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful consensus. With settlement less than 48 hours away, any movement will likely reflect late-breaking team news rather than gradual probability shifts.
Rapid 1923 finished the 2023–24 SuperLiga season in third place, whilst Botoşani occupied mid-table. Head-to-head records between these clubs show competitive encounters with mixed results, meaning neither side enters as a prohibitive favourite in standard match markets. The current zero reading is atypical for football markets at this stage of the settlement window, suggesting either a technical issue with market initialisation or that traders are withholding positions pending clarity on the exact settlement criteria.
Traders should monitor official team sheets and injury bulletins released in the 24 hours before kick-off, as squad availability often drives late repricing in football markets. Rapid's European commitments earlier in the season may affect rotation decisions, though mid-season domestic fixtures typically see closer to full-strength lineups. Any announcement regarding venue changes or fixture rescheduling would immediately alter market dynamics, though no such reports have emerged as of the latest SuperLiga communications.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Botoşani vs. FC Rapid 1923 - More Markets on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →