Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sporting CP | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Sporting CP vs. SC União Torreense) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| SC União Torreense | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Sporting CP will face SC União Torreense in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday, 24 May 2026. The 0% implied probability reflects the overwhelming expectation that Sporting, Portugal's second-most successful club in European competition and a regular Primeira Liga contender, will advance from this cup fixture. No material developments have shifted market sentiment in the past 48 hours; the odds have remained static since the draw was confirmed.
Taça de Portugal knockout matches between top-flight sides and lower-division opponents historically produce decisive outcomes. Sporting's participation in European competitions through the season typically means squad rotation in domestic cup ties, yet even reserve lineups from Primeira Liga clubs have won such matchups with regularity. União Torreense, competing in the lower tiers, has not faced Sporting in recent seasons, limiting direct precedent. The last comparable fixture—Sporting against a similarly ranked opponent in the 2024–25 cup run—resulted in a comfortable away victory.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the settlement window, particularly injury updates for Sporting's key players and any late squad announcements. The fixture's timing in late May, after the Primeira Liga season concludes, may affect squad availability if European qualification is still being determined. Weather conditions on the day and any fixture postponements would be the primary catalysts to watch, though neither has been flagged as a concern as of now.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $188K.
Methodology
This page reviews Sporting CP vs. SC União Torreense across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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