Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fredrikstad FK (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fredrikstad FK (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Sandefjord Fotball hosts Fredrikstad FK on 25 May in the Norwegian Eliteserien, with the match kicking off at 13:15 local time. The 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests traders are either absent from this particular contract or see negligible demand for secondary betting options on this fixture. The settlement window closes immediately after full-time, leaving no buffer for late-breaking information once play begins.
Historical precedent shows that Norwegian Eliteserien matches rarely generate sustained secondary-market activity unless they carry playoff implications or involve top-four clubs. Sandefjord finished 2024 in mid-table, whilst Fredrikstad has cycled between promotion and Eliteserien status over recent seasons. When comparable mid-tier fixtures have opened with zero probability, liquidity typically remains thin throughout the day unless a major injury announcement or weather disruption surfaces. The absence of early trading volume often reflects genuine lack of interest rather than consensus certainty.
Traders should monitor team news releases through 24 May, particularly regarding squad availability. Norwegian media outlets including NRK Sport and VG typically publish injury updates 48 hours before fixtures. Weather conditions in Sandefjord—coastal location prone to wind and rain—occasionally affect match conditions enough to trigger late repositioning. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season may also influence team selection, though neither club faces immediate European qualification pressure this year. The settlement window's tight closure means any catalyst must emerge before 17:15 UTC on match day to influence pricing.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.
Methodology
We track Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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