Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 87% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 85% |
| O/U 32.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 80% |
| O/U 34.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 70% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 40.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 58% |
| O/U 42.5 | 57% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Safety? | 48% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 48% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 48% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 46% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 44% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| O/U 50.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 34% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| O/U 52.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| O/U 54.5 | 23% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Buccaneers vs. Panthers. In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Panthers, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $199K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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