Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 63% |
| O/U 42.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Saints vs. Giants | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 38% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Saints vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| O/U 58.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 15% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to saints vs. giants. In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will resolve to "Giants" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $255K.
Methodology
We track Saints vs. Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Saints vs. Giants on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →