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Dolphins vs. Vikings

Five-platform snapshot of "Dolphins vs. Vikings" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% O/U 22.5 100% O/U 24.5 100% Volume: $4.5M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Dolphins vs. Vikings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 12.5100%
Vikings O/U 13.5100%
Vikings 1H O/U 6.5100%
Dolphins 2H O/U 6.5100%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Dolphins vs. Vikings0%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 26.50%
O/U 28.50%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 5.50%
4Q O/U 6.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Dolphins O/U 10.50%
Dolphins O/U 12.50%
Dolphins O/U 13.50%
Dolphins O/U 16.50%
Dolphins O/U 19.50%
Dolphins O/U 20.50%
Dolphins O/U 23.50%
Dolphins O/U 26.50%
Dolphins O/U 27.50%
Dolphins O/U 30.50%
Dolphins O/U 34.50%
Vikings O/U 16.50%
Vikings O/U 19.50%
Vikings O/U 20.50%
Vikings O/U 23.50%
Vikings O/U 26.50%
Vikings O/U 27.50%
Vikings O/U 30.50%
Vikings O/U 34.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 6.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 20.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 6.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Team to Record Longest FG0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q0%
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Dolphins Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dolphins vs. vikings. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:05PM ET: If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postponed…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Dolphins vs. Vikings".

Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.5M.

Methodology

This page reviews Dolphins vs. Vikings across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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