Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Texans O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 85% |
| Texans O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| Texans O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| Texans O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| Texans 1H O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 34.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | 68% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 68% |
| Texans O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 1H Moneyline | 63% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 62% |
| Texans O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 60% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 13-18 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 25+ | 52% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 19-24 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texans vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Texans O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 7-12 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 44% |
| Texans 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 44.5 | 37% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| Texans O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| O/U 46.5 | 33% |
| Texans 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Texans 1H O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| Texans O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| Texans 1H O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Texans 1H O/U 20.5 | 29% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 48.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Texans O/U 30.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 50.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 16% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| Texans O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| O/U 64.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, texans vs. chargers stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Chargers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texans" if Texans win the game. This market will …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $815K.
Methodology
This page reviews Texans vs. Chargers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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