Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 87% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 86% |
| O/U 26.5 | 85% |
| O/U 27.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| O/U 28.5 | 81% |
| O/U 29.5 | 80% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 76% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 31.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 69% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| O/U 33.5 | 66% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers | 61% |
| Spread -0.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 59% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 58% |
| Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 36.5 | 57% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 54% |
| O/U 38.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 40.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 42.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 37% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 35% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 34% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 45.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| O/U 48.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 23% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| O/U 51.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 17% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 16% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 16% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 16% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| O/U 52.5 | 15% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 56.5 | 11% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 11% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 9% |
| O/U 59.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| O/U 62.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
| O/U 65.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
The Packers vs. Buccaneers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 89% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If the game is postp…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
We track Packers vs. Buccaneers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Packers vs. Buccaneers on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →