Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 84% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 82% |
| O/U 32.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 78% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 34.5 | 75% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| O/U 36.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 69% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 38.5 | 65% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| O/U 40.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 42.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 13-18 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 19-24 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 44.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 43% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 39% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 48.5 | 34% |
| Browns vs. Saints | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| O/U 50.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 52.5 | 22% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 16% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 16% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 58.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Browns vs. Saints. In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Saints, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game. This market will resolve to "Saints" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $687K.
Methodology
We track Browns vs. Saints across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Browns vs. Saints on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →