Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

New York took the first game of the series from Cleveland in overtime, recovering from a 22-point fourth-quarter deficit to win 115-104, which is the main change in the market over the last 24-48 hours. Jalen Brunson led the comeback and the Knicks also got key late minutes from OG Anunoby, while Donovan Mitchell’s 29 points were not enough for the Cavaliers. That result leaves the current 45% YES price looking close to a coin flip rather than a strong lean, with the market effectively balancing New York’s home-court edge against Cleveland’s regular-season strength.

The recent head-to-head record gives a mixed read. New York went 2-1 against Cleveland in the regular season and finished one game better overall, 53-29 to 52-30, but the Cavaliers were still strong enough to take the top seed in the Eastern Conference. Comparable spots have often moved sharply on one game of form, especially when the underdog has just won a high-profile matchup, but one result does not fully erase Cleveland’s season-long profile or the Knicks’ injury management around Anunoby.

The immediate catalysts are team news and any late availability updates before the May 23, 8:00pm ET tip. Brunson and Mitchell remain the central scoring drivers, and Anunoby’s hamstring status is worth monitoring after his limited return in Game 1. The settlement window runs to 24 May, so any postponement would keep the market open until the game is played, while a cancellation would resolve 50-50. CBS Sports’ Game 1 box score is the clearest recent source for the comeback details and late-game scoring split.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.