Nashville SC vs. New York City FC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nashville SC will travel to New York City FC on Saturday, 23 May 2026 for an MLS regular-season fixture. The 25% implied probability for a Nashville victory reflects the away-side disadvantage in a competitive league where home teams have historically won roughly 45% of matches. No significant roster changes or injury announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours that would shift the baseline expectation materially.

Nashville's recent form and fixture congestion matter considerably here. The club's performance trajectory through May—particularly whether they've accumulated fatigue from midweek commitments—will influence their ability to compete in an away setting. NYCFC's home record at Yankee Stadium carries weight; the venue has produced mixed results for the franchise, with neither the team nor the ground commanding the advantage some eastern seaboard clubs enjoy. Weather conditions on match day, whilst May typically offers stable conditions in New York, can favour either side depending on wind patterns that might affect the ball's flight.

Traders should monitor team news releases through Friday, 22 May for any late-breaking injuries or tactical adjustments. MLS scheduling occasionally produces fixture congestion that affects squad rotation decisions. Historical head-to-head records between these sides show competitive balance, though home advantage has proven decisive in roughly 60% of their previous encounters. The settlement window closes shortly after full-time, leaving minimal time for post-match clarifications.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.