CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution

Platform comparison

Market context

CF Montréal and the New England Revolution have already shown a clear split this season: New England beat Montréal 3-0 in April, and that result sits alongside a broader head-to-head edge for the Revolution. Across the recent meetings listed by ESPN and FBref, New England have produced several one-sided wins, including 3-0 and 5-0 scores, although Montréal did take a 3-1 win in Foxborough in July 2025.[3][10][12][15] That history matters for a market priced at **0% YES** because these teams have recently generated outcomes that are not evenly balanced, even when Montréal has stolen a result on the road.[3][10]

From a trading angle, the last 24-48 hours have not produced a new pre-match injury or suspension shock in the supplied sources, so the main catalysts remain team news, confirmed line-ups, and any late schedule or travel updates before kick-off.[1][2][3] AP’s preview pointed to New England’s strong record against Eastern Conference opponents and noted Carles Gil’s recent production, which makes him a key dependency if the market is going to move on attacking expectation.[13] Montréal’s recent results have been volatile, while New England have mixed clean sheets with high-scoring draws, so late confirmation on starting goalkeepers and creators is likely to matter more than historical averages alone.[8][13][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.