Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The **Pittsburgh Pirates already lost 2-1 in Denver**, with Colorado completing the game on 20 June, so the market’s current 0% YES reading is consistent with the final score rather than a live uncertainty premium.[1][5] ESPN’s recap says Jake McCarthy’s leadoff inside-the-park homer off Paul Skenes set the tone, and the Rockies held on through a tense ninth to finish the job.[1]

That makes this a useful example of how MLB head-to-head markets often move from pre-game pricing to near-certain resolution once a final is posted: the scoreboard, not the pre-match handicap, is what matters at settlement.[1][2] The scoreline was tight enough that a late error, bullpen sequence, or replay decision could have mattered in-play, but once the official result was recorded there is no remaining path to a Pirates win under the stated rules.[1][5]

For traders, the main catalyst to watch in similar markets is not the opening line but *schedule status* and *official final confirmation* from MLB or a recognised stats feed, because postponement or cancellation keeps the market open, while a completed game settles it immediately.[1][7] In this case there is no outstanding weather or rescheduling issue in the sources reviewed, so the only dependency left is the market operator’s receipt of the official final statistics.[1][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.