Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
ZYB Esport have already beaten Skillcamp Esport 1-0 in this LFL summer split meeting, so the live state of the market is no longer about pre-match uncertainty but about how the result is reflected at settlement. Public match trackers show the BO1 completed with a Skillcamp vs ZYB scoreline of 0–1, which is the kind of clean finish that usually removes most late ambiguity from a head-to-head market.[2][7]
Before the game resolved, comparable signals pointed to a modest Skillcamp edge rather than a coin flip: Strafe’s community vote had Skillcamp on 68.4% and ZYB on 31.6%.[1] That kind of crowd split suggests the 0% YES reading on ZYB was already detached from sentiment and would only make sense if the market had effectively discounted a ZYB win to near-zero once results or external information came in.[1]
The main catalysts to watch are simple: official match confirmation, whether the BO1 is logged as complete by tournament trackers, and whether any later correction changes the recorded winner or turns the fixture into a voided result.[2][5] For a market with a settlement window ending at 23:00 UTC, the key issue is not competitive form but whether the league and score providers continue to show a completed ZYB win for this specific fixture; if the match record stays intact, there is little room left for a different outcome.[2][5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regu… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →