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LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Any Player Penta Kill 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Any Player Quadra Kill 51% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $333K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 1 Winner38%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)38%
Match Winner34%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 52%. This market refers to the LoL match between UCAM Esports Club and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 14 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Espo…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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