LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Playoffs upper bracket final on 31 May, a best-of-five match that will determine one finalist for the championship. The 80% implied probability favouring Secret Whales reflects their stronger regular-season performance and recent tournament results, though the match remains scheduled for 5:00 AM ET—an unconventional timing that could introduce logistical variables affecting both teams' preparation and broadcast stability.

Historical precedent from LCP playoffs shows that upper bracket finals between established rosters and challengers typically favour the higher-seeded team by 70–85% in betting markets, with actual win rates clustering around 65–72%. Secret Whales' current odds sit at the upper end of this range, suggesting the market has priced in both their demonstrated skill advantage and some uncertainty about Deep Cross Gaming's recent form. Previous upsets in the LCP have occurred when the underdog possessed a specific strategic counter or when the favourite faced unexpected roster complications.

Traders should monitor official LCP announcements regarding any last-minute roster changes, coaching adjustments, or schedule confirmations through the settlement window. The 7-day delay clause creates a meaningful risk vector—any postponement beyond 7 June without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent patch notes and champion pool shifts in the broader League of Legends competitive environment may also shift team preparation priorities in the final week before play. Confirmation of the 5:00 AM ET start time and broadcast availability should be verified as the date approaches, given potential timezone coordination issues between regions.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.