LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid faces RMD Gaming in a Circuito Desafiante Regular Season BO1 match that concluded on 20 July with RMD securing a 1–0 victory. The market’s current 100% YES probability implies the outcome is already settled, yet the settlement window remains open until 21 July 2026, creating a narrow window for late confirmation or administrative error.

Historical data shows RMD Gaming has dominated this fixture, winning their only prior encounter in March 2026 and maintaining a superior world ranking (86 vs 105) alongside a 30% recent win rate compared to Team Solid’s 10% [2][3]. In Split 1 of the same tournament, prediction platforms overwhelmingly favoured Team Solid with 88.8% of votes, a call that proved incorrect as RMD won again [4][5]. This pattern of underperformance by Team Solid—now on two consecutive losses—contrasts sharply with the market’s certainty, suggesting the 100% price reflects post-match confirmation rather than live uncertainty.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any match cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days, which would reset the market to 50–50 per settlement rules [2]. No new roster changes or schedule shifts have been reported since the match date, and current betting odds from PARI still list RMD as the favourite (1.57) versus Team Solid (2.25), reinforcing the result’s validity [7]. The key dependency is the platform’s verification of the completed match; absent a reversal or administrative override, the YES outcome stands confirmed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.