Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 91% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
The match between Solary and Joblife is still scheduled as a **BO1 in the LFL regular season**, and the latest market read is heavily skewed towards Solary, with the crowd implying **0% YES** on the Solary side. Recent matchup data also points one way: Solary beat Joblife **1–0** in their April 2026 LFL meeting, and the broader head-to-head record in the supplied results shows Solary ahead across past encounters.[4][1][3]
That historical framing matters because single-game League of Legends markets can move quickly on line-up news, but repeated results between the same teams often indicate a stable edge unless there is a clear roster or form change. The available comparisons show Solary rated above Joblife in recent form and bookmaker pricing, with Solary listed as the clear favourite at around **1.36** while Joblife sat near **2.9** in one set of odds, which is consistent with a market that has little appetite for a Joblife upset.[3][6]
The main catalysts to watch are straightforward: final confirmation that the game starts on schedule, any last-minute substitute or roster announcement, and whether the match actually completes inside the settlement window. The market rules also matter here — if the fixture is cancelled, never played, or left unresolved beyond seven days, it settles **50-50** rather than a win for either side. At the time reflected in the supplied listings, the contest was still due to be played later today, so any schedule change or competitive forfeiture would be the key event for traders.[3][5]
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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