LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Movistar KOI beat Natus Vincere 2-0 in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier playoffs on 16 May, so the headline risk in this market is no longer competitive uncertainty but whether the contract has already been or will be settled in line with that result. The current 0% YES price is consistent with the match having gone the wrong way for NAVI, and with the settlement window still open there is a timing element rather than a live sporting one.

For context, the pairing has already met in LEC play this split, and Movistar KOI also came into the qualifier as the higher-ranked side in the live listings. In best-of-three LoL markets, outright prices tend to compress quickly once the first map goes against the underdog, particularly where the favourite is already priced near the low 1.40s or shorter, as was the case here. That makes a straight NAVI win resolution increasingly implausible unless the market has not yet ingested the completed series result.

The main catalysts now are administrative rather than on-server: official bracket updates, any delayed publication of the final score, and the market operator’s resolution timing before the 21:00 UTC settlement deadline. Multiple live score pages, including GosuGamers and RFT.GG, already show a 2-0 Movistar KOI result, so traders should watch for whether the contract resolves on that result or remains open pending confirmation. If no winner is recognised by the close of the window, the fallback 50-50 rule becomes relevant.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.