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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Live odds for "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 87% Game 1 Winner 78% Game 2 Winner 78% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $239K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
Game 1 Winner78%
Game 2 Winner78%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Any Player Penta Kill57%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
O/U 2.5 Games33%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor31%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to lol: invictus gaming vs lng esports (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if I…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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