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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 78% Odd/Even Total Kills 51% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Volume: $435K Liquidity: $645K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?78%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?15%
O/U 2.5 Games6%
Game 2 Winner5%
Match Winner3%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: furia esports vs los (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOS in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Es…

Methodology

We track LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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