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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 77% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Game 2 Winner 54% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $555K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?77%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Game 2 Winner54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)31%

Market context

LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 77%. This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esp…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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