LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

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Market context

Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue are scheduled to face off in a best-of-three decider match for EMEA Masters Group B on 12 June at 11:00 AM ET. The 0% probability assigned to Forsaken winning suggests near-complete market confidence in Karmine Corp Blue, though the settlement window extends to 13 June at 00:10 UTC, allowing for scheduling contingencies common in regional League of Legends competitions.

EMEA Masters decider matches historically carry execution risk rather than predictability gaps. Teams reaching this stage typically demonstrate comparable mechanical skill, with outcomes often determined by draft adaptation and mid-game macro play rather than raw favourability. The extreme probability skew here reflects either substantial roster or form disparity between the sides, or market participants' assessment of recent scrim results and group-stage performance. Without recent public statements on team composition changes or player availability, the pricing appears anchored to pre-tournament expectations rather than fresh information.

Traders should monitor for schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through Riot's official EMEA Masters channels in the 48 hours preceding the match. Forsaken's recent performance in earlier group matches and any publicly noted player substitutions would provide concrete catalysts for reassessing the current odds. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches without resolution creates a secondary consideration: if technical issues or scheduling conflicts emerge, the 50-50 tie-break clause becomes relevant, though such outcomes remain statistically uncommon in established regional competitions.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.