LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers face Dplus KIA in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match scheduled for 13 May at 6:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity on this particular fixture. LCK Round 1–2 matches typically draw modest liquidity compared to playoffs, and early-season volatility in Korean league standings often produces unexpected results as rosters settle into form.

Historical context matters here: Dplus KIA has been a consistent LCK presence with playoff experience, whilst DN SOOPers represents a newer or lower-seeded roster. Early-season matches frequently see upsets when preparation gaps or meta-reading advantages favour the underdog. The 0% probability suggests traders may be pricing in near-certainty for one team, though this could equally reflect thin order books rather than genuine conviction. Cancellations or forfeits in LCK are rare but not unprecedented; the 50-50 tie-break clause applies if the match doesn't conclude within seven days of the scheduled date.

Traders should monitor LCK's official schedule for any postponements or roster changes announced before settlement. Recent roster announcements or player availability issues—particularly mid-lane or jungle positions, which drive early-season meta—could shift expectations. Watch for any official LCK communications regarding venue or broadcast delays. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 13 May, leaving a ten-hour window after the scheduled start time for match completion and result confirmation.

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.