Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika Erjavec

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Market context

Ajla Tomljanovic and Veronika Erjavec are listed for Eastbourne qualifying, but the market has already drifted to a **100% YES** implied price because the contest appears to have been played or fully settled in the live feeds rather than remaining an open pre-match uncertainty.[1][2][3] In other words, the present price is less about fresh form information and more about whether the result has been recorded cleanly before the settlement window closes.[1][5]

That reading fits the broader pattern for tennis qualification markets, where prices can become extreme once a match is underway, a set score is posted, or a winner is reflected across multiple live scoreboards. Comparable listings show Tomljanovic being backed on recent-match form, with one feed noting she won four of her last five matches while Erjavec lost three of her last four, but those snippets matter far less than the live match state when deciding a winner market like this.[2][4] ESPN also lists the Eastbourne qualifying tie on its tournament scoreboard, reinforcing that the fixture sits in the qualifying draw rather than the main event, where scheduling volatility is common.[7]

For traders, the key catalysts are whether the official order of play, live scoring and post-match feeds stay aligned, and whether any retirement, abandonment or walkover is announced before the 7-day fallback window is relevant. If a result is confirmed by the tournament or major score providers, the market should stay pinned to the advancing player; if not, delays, cancellations or an incomplete match state are the main routes back to a split settlement.[1][2][5][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Veronika Erjavec on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.