Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko | 0% Antonia Ruzic | 100% Petra Marcinko |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 Winner | 100% Ruzic | 0% Marcinko |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Antonia Ruzic and Petra Marcinko are still listed for a first-round meeting at Eastbourne, but the market now sits at just 1% for a Ruzic advance, which is far below the pre-match view in the public tennis pricing. Tennis Tonic had Marcinko narrowly favoured at 1.88 versus 1.92 for Ruzic, while Tennis.com’s model leaned the other way with Ruzic at a 60% projected win rate[1][3]. WTA’s live tournament page also lists the fixture in Eastbourne without showing a completed result, which keeps the market tied to whether the match is actually played and finished[2].
The historical frame here is that this is a genuinely close-up pairing rather than a mismatch: the sides were priced almost level before play, and there is no prior head-to-head to anchor a strong narrative one way or the other[1]. In that setting, a 1% crowd price usually reflects either a stale market position, a strong expectation that the listed runner is unlikely to progress, or uncertainty around whether the contest will proceed as scheduled rather than a clear, settled performance gap.
The main catalysts to watch are simple: confirmation that the match is called on and the first score update from Court 4, because the market resolves on advancement, not just entry on the schedule[1][2][3]. Eastbourne’s WTA feed shows no completed result yet and no alternate time posted, so any delay, walkover, or retirement would matter as much as the tennis itself under the market rules[2]. That makes the next official scheduling update and the match-status feed more important than pre-match opinion in the near term.
Methodology
This page reviews Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinko on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →