Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
30% | 70% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
30% | 70% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Completed Match | 88% YES | 12% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% YES | 63% NO |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, roland garros wta: marta kostyuk vs iga swiatek stands at 30% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek on Prediction Today
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