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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 77% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.5 76% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.5 59% Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova 57% Volume: $534K Liquidity: $654K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.577%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.576%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.559%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova57%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner55%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 Winner54%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 9.552%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 22.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 10.547%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 23.545%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 10.528%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of wimbledon wta: marta kostyuk vs linda noskova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets