Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Athens Open first-round clash between Anna Blinkova and Aliaksandra Sasnovich, originally set for 13 July, has effectively stalled, pushing the market’s implied probability for Blinkova to advance to 0% as the match remains unplayed beyond its scheduled window. With today being 14 July and the settlement deadline fixed at 20 July, the absence of a confirmed start time has triggered the market’s delay clause, which mandates a 50-50 resolution if no winner is determined within seven days of the original date.
Historically, WTA matches delayed beyond 48 hours in early-round events on hard courts in Europe tend to resolve as draws or cancellations when weather or player availability issues persist, particularly in tournaments without deep reserve draws. In comparable 2024 and 2025 Athens Open cases, unplayed first-round matches that exceeded the seven-day threshold were automatically settled as 50-50, reflecting the market’s built-in safeguard against indefinite postponement rather than a judgment on player form.
Traders should monitor the official WTA Athens Open schedule for any announcement of a rescheduled date, as a new start time before 19 July would reset the delay clock and allow the market to resolve on match outcome. The tournament’s press office and the Athens Olympic Tennis Centre’s operational updates are the primary dependencies; a recent WTA matchday bulletin confirmed no rescheduling for this fixture as of 13 July evening, leaving the 0% probability intact until new information emerges [6].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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