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Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 53% Carla Leite: Points O/U 17.5 51% Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.5 51% Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire 50% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $144K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.553%
Carla Leite: Points O/U 17.551%
Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.551%
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire50%
Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 15.550%
Carla Leite: Rebounds O/U 2.549%
O/U 179.549%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 18.548%
Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 14.548%
O/U 180.548%
Spread -1.547%
Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 4.547%
Jade Melbourne: Assists O/U 4.545%
O/U 181.545%
O/U 182.543%
Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 15.538%
Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.537%
Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.536%
Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 16.534%
Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.533%
Natisha Hiedeman: Rebounds O/U 2.531%
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.530%
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.530%
Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 3.527%
Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.526%
Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 5.526%

Market context

The Seattle Storm meet the Portland Fire tonight, and the market sits at a 50% yes price after the last 24–48 hours of form tilted towards Portland. The Fire snapped a five-game losing run with a 97-83 win over Toronto on Thursday, while Seattle comes in on a 10-game skid after back-to-back defeats in New York, so the current probability is broadly in line with a near-even game rather than a clear favourite.[5][3]

Recent head-to-heads point to a tighter read than Seattle’s season record alone might suggest. Portland has already beaten Seattle twice this year, including a 77-72 win on 4 July and a 94-89 win in Commissioner’s Cup play on 17 June, which shows the Fire have found ways to close out this matchup.[2][8] That said, the teams’ broader profiles still matter: Portland has the better scoring and efficiency numbers, while Seattle has struggled badly in conference play and is allowing a high volume of points.[3][6]

The main catalysts are late injury news, confirmed starting line-ups, and any schedule disruption before the 8:30pm ET tip. ESPN’s listing has Portland around a short favourite at POR -1.5, which suggests the market is treating this as close but slightly Fire-leaning and will likely move on any material availability update.[3] Traders should also watch for any delay or postponement, because a postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a cancellation with no make-up would settle 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 at 53% for "Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire".

Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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