Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The game in Portland and Indiana is scheduled for last night, but the market remains unresolved because the result has not yet been confirmed within the settlement window. With crowd-implied probability still at 0% for Portland, the market is effectively treating the Fever as the default outcome unless a completion notice, postponement or cancellation changes the settlement path.

Low-percentage prices like this are usually best read as a combination of scheduling certainty and market attention, rather than a pure view on team strength. In WNBA markets, prices can sit near zero when one side is expected to be the clear on-court favourite, but they can also reflect a stale book if trading interest is thin or the event has already passed without a fresh result feed. Comparable cases settle quickly once the official game status is posted, but a delay in confirmation can leave the contract pinned until the venue, league or data provider updates the record.

The main catalysts now are administrative rather than sporting: the official final score, any league announcement on a postponement, and whether the game was completed in full before the 23:00 UTC cutoff. Gainbridge Fieldhouse and the Fever’s own schedule listings confirm the fixture as a standard regular-season home game, but traders should watch for a formal result page or league transaction update before the market can move off zero. If no game was played, the contract stays open; if it was cancelled outright with no make-up date, settlement falls to 50-50 under the rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.