Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Minnesota Lynx face the Phoenix Mercury on 1 June at 10:00PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong confidence in a Lynx victory or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline. Settlement occurs by 02:00 on 2 June, allowing roughly four hours post-game for official confirmation.

Historical context suggests WNBA games rarely cancel outright; postponements are the primary risk factor. Since the league resumed full scheduling in 2022, weather-related delays have affected fewer than 3% of games, with make-up dates typically scheduled within the same season. The 50-50 cancellation clause is a safeguard rather than a likely outcome. More relevant is the teams' current form: Minnesota enters June with a stronger defensive rating and bench depth, whilst Phoenix relies heavily on Diana Taurasi's availability and perimeter shooting consistency. Head-to-head records from the past two seasons favour Minnesota slightly, though Phoenix has shown capacity for upset performances in June fixtures when rotation players gain rhythm.

Traders should monitor injury reports released 24 hours before tip-off, particularly any late-game absences from either roster. Phoenix's starting lineup confirmation matters more than Minnesota's given the Mercury's narrower margin for substitution flexibility. Venue conditions at the designated arena and any last-minute scheduling adjustments announced via the official WNBA website remain the only material catalysts that could shift settlement terms before the game concludes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.