Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
33% | 67% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
33% | 67% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever | 33% Chicago Sky | 67% Indiana Fever |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% Indiana Fever | 100% Chicago Sky |
| O/U 170.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 171.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 172.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Chicago Sky face Indiana Fever on 11 June at 7:00 PM ET in a matchup where the market currently prices Chicago at 33 per cent to win. The settlement window closes at 11:00 PM ET the same evening, allowing roughly four hours post-game for result confirmation. This is a regular-season fixture in what remains a competitive WNBA campaign, with both franchises still positioning themselves within playoff contention frameworks.
The 33 per cent probability for Chicago reflects a historical pattern where the Fever have held the stronger record in recent head-to-head encounters. Indiana's roster depth and consistency this season have translated into higher implied win rates across comparable matchups. When examining similar mid-season games between these two franchises over the past two seasons, visiting teams have won approximately 40 per cent of the time, suggesting the home-court advantage carries measurable weight in this pairing. Chicago's current form and injury status relative to Indiana's available personnel will determine whether this baseline shifts materially.
Traders should monitor roster updates through to game time, particularly any late injury declarations that could affect starting lineups or bench depth. Recent WNBA scheduling patterns show minimal postponement risk for June fixtures given weather stability and arena availability at this stage of the season. The four-hour settlement window is standard for evening games, leaving little room for extended result disputes. Any cancellation without rescheduling would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, though this remains an exceptionally rare occurrence in professional league play.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $458K.
Methodology
This page reviews Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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