Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 176.5 | 53% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Awak Kuier: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| O/U 177.5 | 48% |
| O/U 178.5 | 46% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
Market context
Market consensus: 53% chance of chicago sky vs. dallas wings. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 7:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $392K.
Methodology
This page reviews Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings on Prediction Today
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