Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
21% | 79% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
21% | 79% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Baltimore Ravens | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Carolina Panthers | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Miami Dolphins | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The San Francisco 49ers have officially voided the 2026 guaranteed money in Brandon Aiyuk’s contract, removing roughly $27 million in security and leaving him with an unsecured $85.124 million over the remaining three years [2][3]. This decisive move, confirmed by head coach Kyle Shanahan, signals that the long-standing friction between player and club has reached a critical turning point, with both sides now poised to part ways in the coming weeks [2][4]. The market’s 21% YES probability for Aiyuk joining a listed team by August 2026 reflects the uncertainty surrounding the exact timing and mechanism of his departure, whether via trade, release, or a new signing [4].
Historically, similar voiding of guarantees in NFL contracts has accelerated player movement, as seen when teams restructure deals to free up cap space or force a trade [1]. Comparable cases suggest that once financial security is removed, players often seek new opportunities quickly, though the process can be complicated by option bonuses and injury guarantees still in place [1][3]. In Aiyuk’s case, the $24.935 million option bonus due on September 1, 2026, remains a key dependency that could delay or alter his next move [4]. Traders should monitor official announcements from the 49ers, any reported interest from teams like the Washington Commanders, and the NFL’s trade deadline schedule [4]. Recent reports from ESPN indicate the Commanders are the most likely landing spot if Aiyuk moves, but no formal agreement has been confirmed yet [4].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Where will Brandon Aiyuk play in 2026-27? on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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