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Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $200K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5)53%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-11.5) vs Global Esports (+11.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-10.5) vs Global Esports (+10.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: mibr vs global esports (bo3) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between MIBR and Global Esports in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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