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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $517K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)27%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs GIANTX (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

GIANTX and Team Heretics met again in EMEA play after a run of recent head-to-head results that has leaned towards Heretics, but GIANTX did take a 2-0 win in their January 2026 meeting, showing the matchup is not one-way. Earlier 2025 and 2026 meetings went Heretics’ way more often, including a 2-1 win in EMEA Stage 2 and a 2-0 win in the 2025 group stage, so the longer-term series history still gives Heretics the edge[11][13][16].

That is the main context for a market sitting at 0% YES: there is no price signal here, but the match record suggests Heretics have generally been the more reliable side in this pairing. Recent previews also framed Heretics as the bookmakers’ favourite, with GIANTX priced as the outsider, while both teams entered this group match in the 1-2 bracket, which raises the stakes but does not remove the historical advantage[9][10]. For traders, the key catalyst is whether the game is played on schedule before the settlement window closes, because any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 resolution under the market rules.

On the day, the main live variables are roster confirmation, map veto, and any official schedule change from VCT EMEA organisers. If the match starts but does not finish, the exact reason matters for settlement, since a forfeiture win still resolves to the named winner rather than a split[10][11].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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