Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-8.5) vs Sentinels (+8.5) | 0% |
Market context
G2 Esports and Sentinels are scheduled for a best-of-three in VCT Americas Stage 2, but the market’s 0% crowd price implies traders are treating the result as effectively settled or the contest as no longer live in practical terms. The key point for now is whether the match has already been played, delayed, or superseded by an official VCT/VLR update, because the contract only resolves to 50-50 if the game is not played, is tied, or slips more than seven days past the scheduled date without a winner.[1]
Historically, this pairing has leaned towards G2: Strafe’s head-to-head record shows G2 leading 8-4 across 12 meetings, and the most recent listed encounter, in November 2025, also went G2’s way.[2] Recent form in the same event has been more mixed, with G2 entering after a win over Cloud9 and Sentinels after beating LOUD, while other match trackers place G2 higher in the regional rankings than Sentinels.[2][3][4] That combination usually supports a tighter price than 0%, unless the market is reacting to information about the fixture’s status rather than pure team strength.[2][3]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are official scheduling changes, any confirmation from VLR.gg, and whether broadcast pages or match trackers continue to list the series as upcoming rather than completed.[1][9] The settlement source is specified as official information from vlr.gg, so a late start, walkover, or administrative reschedule would matter more here than broader tournament narrative.[1] If no completed result appears before the settlement window closes, the fallback 50-50 rule becomes the main risk to watch.[1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americ… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →