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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 66% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $386K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.566%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)54%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Winner27%
Map 2 Winner26%
Match Winner20%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 67% YES probability for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Genius…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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