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FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 50% FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 50% Any Other Score 50% FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 23% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $360K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk50%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk50%
Any Other Score50%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk23%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk18%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk3%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%

Market context

FK Kudrivka’s meeting with Shakhtar Donetsk is the live event behind this exact-score market, and the 0% crowd price says traders are already treating a very specific final score as highly unlikely. That is consistent with the recent head-to-head pattern: Shakhtar beat Kudrivka 3-1 in April 2026 and 4-0 in October 2025, while a results feed also shows Kudrivka’s recent competitive and friendly form has been mixed, with several low-scoring wins and losses. [3][7]

For context, exact-score markets in a clear favourite-versus-underdog fixture usually concentrate around the favourite winning by one or two goals, rather than around an upset or a narrow home win. Kudrivka’s recent results include a 1-0 win at Obolon Kyiv and a 2-0 win over Kolos-2 Kovalivka, but also a 4-0 defeat to Livyi Bereh Kyiv, while Shakhtar have posted several clean-sheet or near-clean-sheet results in July friendlies, including 0-0 draws and a 2-0 win over HNK Gorica. [3][13]

The main catalysts now are team-sheet and match-status updates: any late change to the fixture time, venue, or line-ups can matter more for exact-score pricing than for a simple win market. Recent scoreboards show the match is listed across major live-score services, so traders should watch for official line-up confirmation and any pre-match postponement or rescheduling notice before the settlement window closes. [2][8][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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