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FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $694K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.51%
FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)0%
Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)0%
FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)0%
Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.50%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.50%
Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.50%
Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Hradec Králové host Beşiktaş in the first leg of this UEFA Europa League qualifier, with kick-off listed for 17:00 UTC at Malsovicka arena in Hradec Kralove.[2][11] The market’s 0% YES price is consistent with a late-stage, event-specific “more markets” book where the exact settlement triggers are often narrower than the match result itself, so the last 24–48 hours matter mainly for team news and market definitions rather than broad season form.[14]

Comparable framing points to a tie where pricing should stay sensitive to whether Beşiktaş are treated as a clear away favourite or whether home-field and rotation keep things tighter than the badge suggests. Pre-match previews and market lines have already pointed to Beşiktaş being the stronger side, with the handicap and total sitting around a modest away lean rather than a runaway expectation, which is the sort of setup that can leave secondary markets unusually exposed to line-up choices and game-state variance.[13][8]

The main catalysts now are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether either club changes approach between the first and second legs. UEFA has the official line-ups page up for the fixture, while match trackers list an unavailable Hradec player, Tomáš Petrášek, which matters if the market is tied to defensive structure or card/goal-related sub-markets.[1][15] With the game already scheduled and the return leg dependency still live, traders will be watching for whether Beşiktaş travel with a full-strength XI or protect options for the tie as a whole.[6][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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