🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK

Five-platform snapshot of "IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

IF Elfsborg 57% Draw 24% Vasteraas SK 20% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
Open live market →
IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
IF Elfsborg57%
Draw24%
Vasteraas SK20%

Market context

IF Elfsborg travel to Vasteraas SK on Friday evening in an Allsvenskan fixture with settlement just hours after kick-off. The 57% crowd probability favours Elfsborg, reflecting their stronger league position and recent form heading into the match. No material roster changes or injury announcements have shifted the baseline in the past 48 hours, though squad updates typically emerge closer to Friday's team sheets.

Elfsborg have historically dominated this fixture. In their last five meetings, Elfsborg won three times and drew twice, with Vasteraas failing to secure victory. That pattern underpins the current market lean. Vasteraas, however, have shown resilience at home this season and occasionally trouble stronger opponents on their own pitch. The 57% probability reflects confidence in Elfsborg without dismissing Vasteraas's capacity to compete or draw.

Traders should monitor official team news releases from both clubs by Thursday evening, particularly any late-notice absences that could shift momentum. Vasteraas's recent league standing and current injury status will be the primary catalyst—if they field a weakened side, the probability may drift further towards Elfsborg. Weather conditions on Friday could also influence play style, though forecasts for mid-August in Sweden typically favour open football. Settlement occurs immediately post-match, so live odds movements in the final hours before kick-off often reflect last-minute tactical or personnel shifts neither club has publicly disclosed.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices IF Elfsborg at 57% for "IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK".

IF Elfsborg 57% Other 43%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK on Prediction Today

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports