Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Falkirk FC and St Mirren meet with the market still pricing **0% YES**, so the latest move in the last 24-48 hours is that there has been no visible re-rating into any of the “more markets” outcomes despite the fixture now being on the day. The match is listed for 1 August at Falkirk Stadium, and the only hard pre-match edge available from the record is that the sides have already met twice in the 2025-26 Premiership, with each club winning once[7][10].

Historically, this pairing has not behaved like a pure coin flip. Across the longer head-to-head sample, Falkirk have the stronger overall record, with FootyStats showing 8 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in the last 14 meetings, while other databases give a broader but still fairly balanced picture over a longer horizon[1][3]. That mix matters for “more markets” because the head-to-head has often produced goals rather than stalemates, with one dataset showing over-2.5 goals landing in 72.7% of meetings and another listing a 2-1 St Mirren win in March 2026 and a 2-0 Falkirk win in January 2026[3][10].

For traders, the main catalysts are late team news, confirmed line-ups and any late schedule or competition changes, because the price here is most likely to move only if the market gets a clearer read on squad strength or rotation. Pre-match stats pages are already live on major score providers, but no fresh injury or selection bulletin is visible in the supplied results, so any announcement from club channels or the Scottish Premiership matchday feed would be the key trigger to watch[4][11][17].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.