Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC

Platform comparison

Market context

Falkirk and St Mirren meet with the market still pricing **0% YES**, despite the sides having already produced a live recent reference point: St Mirren beat Falkirk **2-0** in the league on 10 January 2026, and Falkirk then won **2-1** in September 2025. That split, combined with a broader head-to-head that has often been tight rather than one-sided, helps explain why an outright yes still looks like a low-probability outcome even with the match due now.[9][18][1]

Over the longer sample, the fixture has not behaved like a mismatch. Different databases put the head-to-head at 31 meetings with Falkirk 11 wins, St Mirren 10 and 10 draws, or 24 meetings with Falkirk 10 wins, St Mirren 6 and 8 draws, but both point to a reasonably balanced rivalry rather than a dominant edge for either side.[1][12] In practical market terms, that means a zero price is usually telling you the contract needs a very specific event to settle yes, not just a routine competitive game.[1][12]

The main catalysts to watch are team news, late injury or suspension calls, and any pre-match indication of rotation, because those are the developments most likely to change the reading in the final hours. Recent form also matters: Falkirk have mixed cup and league results in July and early May, while St Mirren arrive after a similarly uneven run of Premiership and cup fixtures, which keeps line-up uncertainty relevant right up to kick-off.[4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.